Cost-Minimizing Choice Behavior in Transportation Planning: by Sven B. Erlander

By Sven B. Erlander

In the management development at Linkopi ¨ ng college we've one in all Oscar Reutersvard’ ¨ s “Impossible Figures” in 3 dimensions. I name it “Perspectives of Science”. whilst considered from a speci c element in area there's order and constitution within the three-d gure. while seen from different issues there's affliction and no constitution. If a speci c scienti c paradigm is used, there's order and constitution; in a different way there's illness and no constitution. My point of view in Transportation technological know-how has fascinated by knowing the mathematical constitution and the common sense underlying the alternative chance types in universal use. My ebook with N. F. Stewart at the Gravity version (Erlander and Stewart 1990), used to be written during this point of view. the current booklet stems from an identical wish to comprehend underlying assumptions and constitution. It investigateshow some distance a brand new manner of de ning Cost-Minimizing habit can take us.Itturnsoutthatall commonlyusedchoiceprobabilitydistributionsoflogittype– log linear likelihood features – keep on with from cost-minimizing habit de ned within the new means. furthermore a few new nested types appear.

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6 Extensions 55 principle compatible with the resulting probability distribution. We give two nested logit models as examples. Consider the structured logit model pkm D PK kD1 exp. PM ckm / mD1 exp. 11) in Sect. , there are no activity constraints and only one cost condition). This can be rewritten in nested form as exp. cQm . // pkm D PM mD1 exp. cQm . // exp. ckm / : PK ckm / kD1 exp. P ckm /. This way of writing the model indiwhere cQm . / D 1 log K kD1 exp. cates that it can be interpreted as a two step model where alternative m is chosen first with probability exp.

1007/978-3-642-11911-8 5, c Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2010 63 64 5 Some Particular Logit Models makers have full information about costs we would expect all of them to choose the route with lowest cost. However, in reality not all trip makers choose the cheapest route, due to differences in information and differences in the evaluation of different routes. e. will be more probable. Assuming cost-minimizing behavior according to Definition 1 we find from Proposition 1 that the choice probabilities are given by exp.

5 We shall alternate between the terms “payoff” and “utility”. The reason for this is that the classical approach is strongly connected with the term “utility”. In the rest of the book we have tried to uphold the distinction between “payoff” as denoting an observable quantity and “utility” as a quantity which can be observable or unobservable. 4 Axiomatic Derivations of Logit Models 47 is usually used. In much of the economics literature “utility” denotes unobservable hidden quantities. The material in Sects.

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