By Edward A. Smith
Booklet by way of Edward A. Smith
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Extra resources for Complexity, Networking, and Effects-Based Approaches to Operations
In the case of Desert Storm, the shift was to sparring contests between Iraqi anti-aircraft batteries and Allied aircraft in no-fly zones accompanied by a continued diplomatic impasse over economic sanctions, both aspects of a wily information campaign of psychological attrition that Saddam Hussein continued to wage. In the case of Operation Iraqi Freedom, the shift to insurgency and terrorism left the “victorious” coalition forces juggling the interrelated economic, social, and political tasks of re-establishing order and dealing with terrorist and insurgent operations in another war of psychological attrition, this time centered on a damage infliction strategy.
25 In the post-9/11 security environment, the linear “state of war” has been replaced by a complex “state of hostilities” that encompasses everything from law enforcement to peacekeeping, limited strike operations by military forces, full-blown military intervention, and lengthy post-conflict stabilization operations. Within this state of hostilities, we can usually still identify the beginning and end of major combat operations (the shaded block in Figure 5) in part because they involve conventional military operations and in part because of the scale of the effort involved.
Complexity in the post-9/11 world Chapter 1 13 FIGURE 5. NEW MODEL OF CONFLICT deterrence, and now deterrence of chemical, radiological, and biological weapons of mass destruction—and all of the responsibilities of a wide variety of peacekeeping and humanitarian operations. 23 Along this continuum, we can still pick out the beginning of a crisis24 and identify the time at which we decide to respond to an emerging challenge or to commit military forces in crisis response operations. However, 23 Stated differently, asymmetric opponents like al Qaeda have sought to turn a mindset still shaped by the old concept of war to their advantage.