Becoming Rivals: The Process of Interstate Rivalry by Brandon Valeriano

By Brandon Valeriano

Rivalries are a primary element of all overseas interactions. the concept that of contention means that old animosity could be the so much primary variable in explaining and figuring out why states devote foreign violence opposed to one another. through knowing the old elements at the back of the emergence of contention, the suggestions hired by means of states to house strength threats, and the problems endemic to enemies, this publication seeks to appreciate and are expecting why states develop into competitors.

The fresh raise within the quantitative examine of competition has principally pointed out who the opponents are, yet now not how they shape and increase. questions on the escalation of competition are vital if we're to appreciate the character of conflictual interactions. This publication addresses a major examine hole within the box via at once tackling the query of contention formation. as well as making new contributions to the literature, this booklet will summarize a cohesive version of ways all interstate rivalries shape through the use of either quantitative and qualitative tools and sources.

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Sample text

I ask if the power politics factors investigated are present during different time periods prior to the start of the rivalry relationship. Will the results change if the analysis is shifted to a sequencing model that can account for the stages of rivalry throughout time? I will seek to understand when power politics strategies are used during the life of a rivalry. For my theory to be empirically accurate, it must show correct temporal ordering. It is also important to add the correct temporal ordering of events to models.

Thompson (2001) finds that 75 percent of all strategic rivals have engaged in war. Diehl and Goertz (2000) discover that over 50 percent of the enduring rivals (only sixty-three pairs of states) have fought a war at one time or another and account for the great majority of conflict experienced in the system. If interstate rivals are responsible for most of the war in the international system, a prudent course of action to decrease conflict is to focus conflict management techniques on states that are either already rivals or might become ones in the future.

The steps-to-war model (Vasquez 1993) holds that there are certain actions or foreign policy choices states make that increase the probability of war occurring within a dyad. Territorial disputes, power politics (alliance building, hard-liners in power, and arms races), and recurring disputes each move a state closer to war. “Power politics behavior, rather than preventing war, actually increases the probability that it will break out” (Vasquez 1993, 7). In combination, the issues at stake and how those issues are handled can provoke war if said issues are handled in a power politics manner.

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